Description

This analysis provides a forecast of COTI prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-23 0.018495 0.021534 0.024890 0.028867 0.033447 0.038553 0.044674
2025-11-30 0.014318 0.018345 0.023203 0.029481 0.037365 0.046922 0.059371
2025-12-07 0.011138 0.015511 0.021209 0.029143 0.039871 0.053833 0.073341
2025-12-14 0.008652 0.012981 0.019019 0.028001 0.040962 0.058909 0.085556
2025-12-21 0.007064 0.011328 0.017651 0.027625 0.042863 0.065143 0.100026
2025-12-28 0.006292 0.010706 0.017614 0.029088 0.047522 0.075782 0.122119
2026-01-04 0.005535 0.009949 0.017211 0.029862 0.051144 0.085213 0.143466
2026-01-11 0.004637 0.008786 0.015946 0.028998 0.051933 0.090181 0.158215
2026-01-18 0.004000 0.007962 0.015108 0.028694 0.053550 0.096590 0.175968
2026-01-25 0.003410 0.007116 0.014092 0.027898 0.054143 0.101237 0.191120
2026-02-01 0.002951 0.006441 0.013280 0.027339 0.055050 0.106468 0.207795
2026-02-08 0.002600 0.005924 0.012691 0.027109 0.056511 0.112806 0.227125
2026-02-15 0.002240 0.005331 0.011877 0.026344 0.056884 0.117250 0.243611
2026-02-22 0.002098 0.005198 0.011996 0.027527 0.061346 0.130131 0.278077
2026-03-01 0.001878 0.004845 0.011590 0.027523 0.063325 0.138265 0.303903
2026-03-08 0.001623 0.004361 0.010819 0.026595 0.063180 0.141997 0.321013
2026-03-15 0.001444 0.004036 0.010361 0.026312 0.064420 0.148766 0.345294
2026-03-22 0.001387 0.004011 0.010616 0.027749 0.069772 0.165028 0.392023
2026-03-29 0.001296 0.003882 0.010595 0.028510 0.073622 0.178347 0.433569
2026-04-05 0.001138 0.003540 0.009981 0.027693 0.073551 0.182716 0.455104
2026-04-12 0.001024 0.003300 0.009595 0.027408 0.074756 0.190173 0.484635
2026-04-19 0.000904 0.003020 0.009060 0.026648 0.074650 0.194475 0.507054
2026-04-26 0.000807 0.002791 0.008631 0.026115 0.075064 0.200078 0.533230